27th Rendez-Vous Globalization: The emergence of Africa in the globalization subsahariene
Foresight exercises carried out in the horizon 2030-2050 there are more than ten years in Africa already announced a doubling of the population of the continent. For most analyzes, then, the existence of an additional billion human beings should make it more difficult economic takeoff strong enough to ensure genuine emergence of sub-Saharan Africa on the global economy.
27th Rendez-vous de Globalization:
The emergence of sub-Saharan Africa in the globalization
Wednesday, October 3, 2012 from 5:00 p.m. to 7:30 p.m.
Cenre d'analyse stratégique
18, rue de Martignac - 75007 Paris
Today, in a time when European economies are fragile, where the U.S. recovery seems weaker than anticipated, which Chinese and Indian growth showed signs of slowing, Africa appears on a positive note. Sub-Saharan Africa has returned to economic growth from 1995. The latter is ramping up to reach an annual rate of 6% up to the 2008-2009 crisis. If the pace of GDP growth decelerated sharply in 2009, by 2010, the region has regained its momentum and will continue to grow strongly in the medium term.
Sub-Saharan Africa is characterized by its geographical diversity, its population growth, the plurality of histories and identities as well as the disparities in development of a country to another. Analyzes focusing on unequal economic growth concentrated in certain sectors and in certain regions, amid geopolitical instability and poverty, successive expertise that make more room for parameters such as the emergence of urban middle classes and inter-bank transfers emerging issue of immigration. Will this be enough there to create a new situation likely to reduce imbalances in a sustainable manner?
If uncertainties remain large on the face of sub-Saharan Africa in 2050, many analysts stress the importance of institutional changes, strengthening the rule of law and better governance. Institutional stability comes not automatically expected economic growth, even if it is strong. Between demographic challenges and socio-economic challenges, what form original policy could emerge? What is the correlation between development, democracy, conflict prevention and political stability?
Now nobody can underestimate the sub-Saharan Africa will play a major battles influence. The impact of the development of this region have major global consequences. If emerging countries, including China, have already incorporated a "strategy for Africa", the world will have to catch up and develop new geo-economic balances. A regional strategy further from the SSA would allow it to weigh more globally? Other interactions are not only based on the exploitation of resources, is it possible?
PROGRAM
- Opening by Vincent Chriqui , Director General of the Centre for Strategic Analysis
With, in order of appearance:
- Alain Viry, Chairman of the Supervisory Board of CFAO "Sub-Saharan Africa: strengths, weaknesses and challenges "
- Sylvie Brunel, University Professor at the University Paris-Sorbonne IV "Sustainability of African growth: the impact of demographic and environmental pressures"
- Philippe Hugon , research director at IRIS "Governance issues in sub-Saharan Africa: Towards a consolidation of the rule of law? '
- Jean-Marc Chestnut , Deputy Director General of the Directorate of Globalization, Development and Partnerships, Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs , "The impact of the development of sub-Saharan Africa to the rest of the world to new interactions? '
- Appointment chaired by Lionel Zinsou , President of PAI Partners, a member of the executive committee of the think tank of the Institut Montaigne